No alleyway

 

This time seems no solution for anything.......Covid restarts,people use again masks and other equipments.Economic cautions do not lurr anyone.Let's talk about inflations.Every place of the world has inflation and recession.If covid reloads again,financial system can have damaged.

USA inflation is hiking,FED will be hawkish.No unwinding.All of the developing countries have hiking their rates,except of Turkey,

Currently inflation is %78,62.Oil prices are raising in every day.It means more inflation.Turkish central bank cuts off rates or wait.Summary 1 usd is equal to 18 lira.Lots of banks tell 1 usd can be 24 lira end of december.On the other hand,current account deficit is getting bigger.Sooner or later they will have a choice,high interest rates or high dollar.

According WHO,6th wave can happen end of this September.If it happens,it will be disruptive.Economies are not ready for it,They have already recession,a new ceasing can hurt.Markets will have new shocks sooner or later.Docile cautions do not make sense,hard steps  will have been necessary.

This summer will be hectic,ECB and FED decisions,new wave  for Corona and Monkeypox viruses or more.It resembles Netflix,it is getting be part of series.

Desperate

Impeccable storm has already started.It is not new thing.It is known structure.I am talking about the planet,policy,now and future.

I remember I watched this movie or similiar movie.Reciprocation with science and ignorance.This is conclusion.Ukraine and Russia have a war.Millions left from their lands,In 21st century people kill each other with violence.

I am not a philosopher. I just think and write my ideas for community.There is nobody invincible.New diseases arise,Monkeypox virus is one of them.Humans breached the nature.We killed nature.And conclusion is clearly present,New weapons......Nuclear bombs testing.......................

Ignorant humans if they have power,they destroy everything.Science and technology are real for destiny or fate.Currently the biggest problem of the world is brashness leaders.How they can be?According to internet or data the most of them belive in God but away they have sins.Even though they are not afraid of anything.Joyless nations joyless millions are living.

The world status resembles intestine broth soup who consists of everything mixed.Rejection of the science is created inevitable consequences.Using of Twitter or Instigram for some of them persons are bad sign,for others gifts of God.Again they do not believe in science.Humans must read Magna Carta.

What changed?

Todays subject is same,what changed?The answer is same.Everything is same in economy or in the planet.

Let's talk about Turkish Economy,you think 1 usd can be much more high Lira in coming soon?I think yes it is possible.Now it is equal to 10 Lira.Why?

TCMB cuts off rates from 19 to 16.Inflation is near to %20.

Others are hiking interest rates because Fed will cut off publishing QE.Recently Russia Central Bank hiked interest rates.

However Covid effects are still alive for economy or in life.People have vaccine but their salaries are not enough.Nowadays Turkish Minumum Wage salary is 290 usd in a month.Life conditions are getting harder.

When I write these sentences probably somethings are worse.According to news new patients are in China by Covid.

Some countries do not have enough ability to fight with this disease.I mean vaccines,they do not use it.In a conclusion,everyday new deaths are coming in any place of the world.Leaders are just watching.It is not a game,developed countries belive in science,they have small damages to the others.

I mentioned,many times.If your guide,your steps are science you always win.

Not Beautiful World

 En son yazıyı Mayıs ayında yazmışım ,o günden bugüne ne değişti bir bakalım.Covid hala aynı. İnsanlar ölüyor ve de galiba aşılar virüsün yeni türlerine karşı etkili değil. Dünya'nın her yerinden çeşitli haberler geliyor  Delta , Beta varyantı şeklinde.

Gerçek şu ki ekonomiler zor durumda kalıyor geçen senelerde yaşadığımızın benzerlerine göreceğiz tam kapanmalar ya da kısmi kapanmalar. Peki devletler yetirince halklarına yardımcı oluyorlar mı ?Kredi veya hibe şeklinde.

Gelişmiş ülkeler ellerinden gelenleri şöyle ya da böyle yapıyorlar, gelişmekte olanlar ise vatandaşlarından para istiyorlar. Bu normal mi sizce ?

Bence Covid bitmeyecek, 4.doz dahil olmak üzere bazı şeyler şimdiden konuşuluyor. Dünya'nın her tarafı benzer. Dediğim gibi Covid hep kalacak aşılar varyantlara ne kadar etkili göreceğiz

Sadece Covid yok, diğer afetlerde can ve mal kayıplarına neden oluyor.Avrupa'da,Çin'de ve Japonya'da olan seller küresel ısınmanın etkilerini gösteriyor.

Milyonlarca insan yeni hayat kurmaya çalışıyor bu konuda devletler ne kadar yardımcı olacak göreceğiz?

Son zamanlarda sadece bunlar olmuyor, yeni göçmenler insanlar ülkelerini terk edip bir yerlere gitmeye çalışıyorlar.Türkiye,Afganistan ve Avrupa bu üçgende.

Yazık bu ortamda dahil olmak üzere insanların birbirlerine yaptıkları kötülükleri görmezden gelmek bencilliktir.

Ekonomik gelişmeler sadece pansuman işlerine yarıyor, tüm Dünya benzer düzenlere sahip.Covid'de yeni varyantlara karşı aşı tedavisi bulunmazsa ne olacak gerçekten merak ediyorum. Büyük ekonomiler halklarına karşılıksız para , çek yardımı yapacaklar mı?

Zamanla her şeyi göreceğiz. Ne kadar dayanaklı ve güçlüyüz ?

Back to Economy

 Back to reality,Supernatural is enough for me......Everything is getting worse in the planet.Especially in economy.

1.9 Trillion $ surviving package was signed by President Biden.First time 1400 $ every USA citizen will have had this money.It is first time,the most capitalist country helps their citizens.10 years bonds are hiking.It means,developing countries lost money.Especially like Turkey.......

Interest rates will hike or not dollar will hike,no choice anymore......Currently trade interest rates are near to % 17-18 which are so high levels.In this week,we have meeting in TCMB.

According to all of credit rating firms,wait at least 100  basis points hiking.If they do not,strong dollar will effect  Turkish Market with badly.

Politics issues are part of this area.Turkey-Saudi Arabia relationships are not good.Also  with Egypt relations do not look well.Saudi Arabia bans turkish products importing for their markets.Turkey losts a market more.

S-400,second part S-400 buying probably do not look possiple.It will be stayed only humor.These things are politics....