Thursday, January 23, 2020

Welcome to Home

Well,again I am in my home Turkey,Istanbul.I graduated with successfully  from my university Zhejiang Daxue.I can speak iy dian dian Chinese,you know you want to learn Chinese you always should repeat Chinese characters by writing.



Let's look and talk about the world problems, so what changed? About world economy,growth,stock markets,human rights,nature........

I guess it is getting worse....You are already know that.

Climates,seriously what is happening in Australia?Fires,floods,storms big chaos in there.Last summer only 6 months ago we saw, same story in Amazon Jungles had same problems.If nature does not create new energy and loops,consequences are inevitable.

Economies

China and USA had a deal last week,it looks well for both of them and other economies.Trade wars effected with negatively all economies.1 USD is equal to 6,87 RMB.USA current deficit is getting stronger because,trade wars (customs from cars to other products agricultural,technological things) started for USA current deficit problem,On the other hand,head quarters of factories are in USA which are American Companies so some of them are getting slump.

If everyting is getting positive,China and USA do second agreement end of spring.FED can hike rates again.

In this equation Iran and USA had no war between each others.If we look new developings in the Middle East Zone,what changed?Still wars,and fears nothing changed.

Libia is complicated,Libia has rich and efficient petrol areas.Petrol Prices have some waves.Ons Gold (Iran,Libia).

Turkish Economy has problems.TCMB cuts off interest rates it is good for raising consuming and trades but away we can find falcon atmosphere .Inflation is not in low levels.Minumum wage salary and taxes show somethings are not going to well.Credits,loans if you search car and home selling number for a long time their cumulatives are not flying is falling.Europe Relations & Iran & Libia & Syria,directly these subjects have connected point with economy.












Monday, December 23, 2019

Perspective of global economy

December,cold days in China.What about economic development or issues? In terms of my perspective Turkish Economy is not going to well,shortage loop goes on ,if you can  create only for establishing new homes ,apartments you do not earn anything.Society & life & every sectors.Look youth unemployment rate %26 ? by Tuik,.1 Usd is equal to 6,00 lira,it means we will see new wage increase in many products,you import Sugar from Russia but Russia has not a cold climate? Somethings are not true for economy,agriculture & technology & human power & financial things & health system are part of economic society.By these things some countries become developed countries.lnnovation should start  for hiking your citizens life quality.Another things in global market......Brexit looks ok.All of central banks cut off interest rates,their aims are to hike selling home ,cars in their countries.Peace between China and Usa are good news.Tarrifs & custom taxes effect badly both economies.Right now USA 2 years and 10 years horizontal curve look stabil,it means no recession point.Middle East & Mediterranean Sea are complicated,Syria,Libia....Especially I had mentioned this thing for a long time ago.Turkey can have new immigrants 100,000 (Idlib).

Sunday, October 20, 2019

Thursday, October 10, 2019

Dark Sea

New xinqqi;




Friday, October 4, 2019

New Perspective

I write this article in my new university,I had told you l will learn Hanyu in China.Nowadays global economy is slowing down actually we saw first sign of global recession in ons gold hiking.Many central banks cut off interest rates and publish new QE or bond program for raising consuming.In USA,Powell cut interest rates in last month with 2 times.Trade wars and tariffs do not work well although China and USA have no any deal yet. 1 USD is equal to 7,15 Rmb it is good for China they are exporter country but away current deficit of USA is still hiking.On the other side Trump has hard days new investigation about Ukraine,Biden.......... Stock Markets search new paths for gaining. What about Turkey? Yesterday Tuik (Turkish Statistic Community) shared inflation report after 2,5 years we have %9 near inflation.ls it real ? If it is real why only in 5 months electric prices raised in 2 times with %15?ln rationality they are opposite meanings.lf inflation drops your prices should be dropped if you do not do that you can have deflation.What markets tell ? According to them 1 usd is equal to 5,70 lira.TCMB cuts interest rates and they try to resurrect trade and consuming (home and car sales).The main point all of developing and develop economies cut interest rates. In coming soon recession of world economy will be effected negatively.Credit loans,PMI data are not fine all of them less than 50 which means a perfect storm is so near. New reports will explain tomorrow USA non agricultural data &unemployment rate.About Iran and Saudi Arabia (Aramco and Yemen),Syria Region,Brexit,and other some political issues should follow.Long positions in this term can not be logical.