Wednesday, January 30, 2019

Ahmaklar İçin


Ahmaklar için gerçekten 8 milyarlık gezegende kaç milyar aptal var ?


IQ,beyin hücresi veya benzer bir şey var mı? Bence bir yerlerde sorun var.



Sayamıyorum,diyorlar ki halkı aç,insanlar ölüyor,göç ediyor,ameliyat olamıyor tuvalet kağıdı dahi yok;


Beyni kullanmıyorsan  neye yarar?Saksı değil bu ya da süs objesi.



Daha çok örnek var milyarlarca hatta trilyon $ 'larca :))).


Hiç bir ineği, kasabı kovalarken gördünüz mü hayır,kısıtlı beyinleri var yani temel şeyleri algılayabiliyorlar ama bizler farklıyız.



Bizler insanız;Mars'a ya da Ay'a koloni kurmaya çalışan,ölümün ne olduğunu araştıran ya da sonrasını ,insan klonlamaya çalışan,yapay zekadan maximumu almaya çalışan bir türüz.Görünüşte öyle.



Liderler evet dünya liderleri hiçbir dünya lideri gördünüz mü maaş almıyorum ancak  temel gıdam için ve ailem için barınma,yeme içme vb.


Ben halkımı temsil ediyorum ben örnek olmalıyım,malesef.


Şimdiki zamanın 17. yüzyıldan farkı ne ?


Şu;kolunda bir saat,bir kadın,cebinde Iphone ve de arabanın anahtarı bizler medeniyiz ve kurallar ile yasalara çok saygılıyız.



Küresel ısınmadan  da şikayet ediyorlar her yere bina sonra sel ya da fırtına kopunca çok üzgünüz;


ya da eğitimde;


ekonomide;


sanatta;


kültürde;


insan haklarında;


hayvan haklarında;



Dediğim gibi bu beyni kullanmak lazım Dünya yaşanabilecek bir yer olmaktan çıkıyor.

1960'daki dünya ile şimdi ki bir mi değil.


Çalışmalar boşuna yapılmıyor,uzay dışı yaşam, genleri değiştirilmiş insanlar + yapay zeka.


Temiz,0'dan bir gezegen.Önce koloniler kur ondan sonra  evler inşa et,şehirler ve ülkeler yeni dünyalar.


Zaten gidişat bu yönde.


Eski uygarlıklar mükemmele yakınlardı benim teorim bu yönde.Tek bildiğimiz gösterilen şeyler.



"Tek çözüm bilim,eğitim,araştırma ve sorgulamak"

Monday, January 28, 2019

COUNTING DOWN FOR- FED ICIN GERI SAYIM



Hi,dear citizens of the world.Care yourself.Today I will share some ideas or minds about FED.



When I search and read some news about FED in USA Media,I am so surprised,especially WSJ tries to create a manipulation.




Tekrar merhaba değerli dünya vatandaşları,bugün FED'in bazı düşünce ve kararları hakkında konuşmak istiyorum.Amerikan Medyası'nda FED hakkında bazı şeyleri bakarken,WSJ Gazetesi'nde bir haber görünce şaşırdım açıkçası bu bir manipülasyon.



FED will not hike and "Fed Officials Weigh Earlier -Than Expected End to Bond Portfolio Runoff


Şöyle diyor:FED bütçe azaltmasını beklenenden önce sonlandırabilir tabi faiz artışları da biter.

This title still presents in WSJ.

I guess Trump and FED deal for hiking rates with 2 times in 2019.For a long time Trump did not tell anything about FED or Powell.He cares about China,Venezuela and Syria.In addition he has an investigation by FBI.

FED is an independent establishment,I am sure that but decisions take by a consensus of FOMC members.


What changed? 

USA markets ( S&P 500,Dow Jones,Nasdaq) had  hard sellings.Also USA 10 years bonds dropped to 2,58 levels.It was so near with 2 years bonds.

Currently,USA markets and 10 years bonds look having a balance and positive.



Trump ve FED bana göre 2019 'da iki faiz artışı için anlaştılar.Trump uzun bir aradan bu yana FED ve Powell hakkında tek bir cümle dahi söylemiyor,onu şu an Venezuela,Suriye ve Çin gibi konular ilgilendiriyor tabi FBI'ın kendisi hakkında da bir soruşturması mevcut.

Ve de FED bağımsız bir kuruluş ama kararlar FOMC üyelerinin  oy birliği ile alınıyor.


Ne değişti?

Amerikan Borsaları'nda sert satışlar görmüştük hatta 10 yıllık faizler bir ara 2,58'lere kadar gelmişti ki 2 yıllıklar bir ara öndeydi şu an borsalar ve 10 yıllıklar tekrar toparlanmış gibiler.




In my opinion that,FED can wait until March (Brexit) but FED will not give from reduction plan.
4,5 $ Trillion will return to home.

China and some of EM Markets are not ready,if a global crisis starts,it will be by Venezuela ( Petrol,politics)


China has a slumping in growth,according to data trade wars  create  damages  for them.

In Europe Region  has already a recession,their biggest partner is China.Their exporting and importing balances can break by these developings.ECB will hike interest rates in this summer ?

This thing should be  main question for Europe.


FED, Mart'a  kadar bekleyebilir (Brexit'i görmek için) ama azaltma planına sadık kalacaktır.Çin ve bazı gelişmekte olan piyasalar hazır görünmüyorlar, şu an bir global kriz beklentisi yok ancak şahsi fikrim eğer olursa Venezuela'daki olaylar (siyasi ve petrol) gibi.

Çin ise bir yavaşlamaya sahip ciddi bir yavaşlama 1,5 milyar insanın olduğu bir ülke.Görünüşe göre ticaret savaşları onlara zarar vermiş.

Son bir şey daha,Avrupa zaten bir yavaşlama sürecinde en büyük ortağı  Çin,bu tarz gelişmeler onların ithalat ve ihracat dengelerini bozabilir.

ECB bu yaz faiz arttıracak mı ?Asıl soru Avrupa için bu olmalı.

Friday, January 25, 2019

Greedy



Venezuela tiene increíbles poderes subterráneos. Minas, gasolinas, gases naturales, oro y naturaleza. Dios les dio muchas bellezas, desafortunadamente no las usan.



Pero este país tiene serios problemas durante mucho tiempo, las personas emigran a otros países de América Latina, Europa o Estados Unidos.



Tienen hambre,



No tienen trabajo,



Educación para personas de 7-18 años.



En el siglo 21 la gente muere de hambre por qué.



El número de inflación no es importante (% 2,000,000) .IMF ya no mide más.

Este país es un miembro de la OPEC, tienen una capacidad de producción de gasolina mucho mayor que la de Arabia Saudita.



Actualmente los números muestran que Venezuela tiene 300 mil millones de reservas de gasolina.



Especialmente las minas de gas natural y oro son otros excedentes.



Maduro tenía un acuerdo con China, él vendió% 50 de sus reservas de gasolina a China con $ 50 mil millones de dólares.



Aprendimos esta noticia por los medios.



La población de este país es de 32 millones, durante 2 años las cifras nos muestran que quedan 5 millones. Son refugiados en otros países latinos o en España (países de habla española).





"La codicia y el poder crean pobreza y destrucción, es lo mismo para todas las naciones y todos los lugares del mundo".

Thursday, January 24, 2019

Onion



                                             Tell me what is economy?


If we know truth,why do not we apply it?


2+2=4
2 *2=4
1+3=4
3+1 =4
4+0=4
0+4=4
4*1=4
1*4=4



I will talk about  food prices of Turkish Kitchen,you see some average prices lists.

onion,  1 kg 8 lira
potatoes,  1 kg lira
leek,    1 kg 7 lira
parsley, one piece 2 lira
eggplants, 1 kg 20 lira
pepper 1 kg 16 lira
tomatoes, 1 kg  10 lira
cabbage, 1 kg 10 lira
cucember, 1kg 8 lira
celery 1 kg 6 lira

radish 1 kg 6 lira
carrot 1 kg 6 lira
apple 1 kg 7 lira
orange 1 kg 8 lira


and Turkey  has so high prices for vegetables with fruits.Also Turkey started to import onion,barley,wheat without tarrifs.

It can be positive effect for inflation in a short term but away government budgets consist of taxes
and developing of agricultural sector is complicated.




Agricultural sector has been slowing for a long time,costs are getting high.These matters affect negatively for farmers.


1-)Fuel prices ( 1 lt average 6 lira)
2-)Plant food ( 240 lira or high) it depends on quality
3-)Seeds,
4-)Natural disasters (according to Nasa,climate of Turkey is changed by global warming )


In above,main criteria effect directly and indirectly inflation and prices.Nasa warned Turkey  about climate.






Inflation of 2018 was % 20,3.

If you look at details for nutrition index ,it is still about (%26).Agricultural and farming have a loop.

Pulps (sugar product and food for cows).

It is a simple loop,they are connected with each other.I had pointed  this subject for a long time ago.


Agricultural and farming sellings  are an important incoming in Usa and Holland Economies.By this sector Holland has current surplus.

In trade wars between Usa-China,Trump said you will buy our soy.

Investments should be in  this area,Tubitak , Odtü and Hacettepe can do somethings.

Potential of Turkey is not weak for every sector.





Wednesday, January 23, 2019

Jerks



I write a little bit  short  article.......


When you go to grociery and you see changing of prices in every week you will not cry ok...........


If you have not rules and a law system it is normal;let's look story.





                                                  I love this TV show,it is so funny
 


Seriously how many jerks present in this earth ? One ,one million,one billion ........................


Justice,law statement are your ordinary rights but away if a human forgets meaning of human probably their lifes can be same with animals.

Future is in science,human new type humans.I tell,we can not give souls but away DNA of babies can change in the womb.


Clever nations are successful and they always will be successful.Think if you have a super rocket system and artificial intelligence you can do everything.


Establish a new world in the space.


Create super genes humans.


Effective and magnificient.


AWESOME.


SECOND PART

We are in 21 century and still some humans can not speak their native languages and not meaning of democracy.

Human rights,

Justice,

Law,

Antique Greeks should not surprise.


"If you have a brain,you should use it,it is not a pot"

Tuesday, January 22, 2019

Drama-Comedy



If you are so powerful and magical,why do you die? Seriously  you have unlimited money;but away you die.

You are afraid of dying by cancer,

and even you do not know where you will go;hell,heaven  or nothing.

Open your eyes,you are not slave, free willings do not mean you are a slave

search,analyse,asking questions on your mind.








     DAVOS STARTS (SAME AND UNNECESSARY MEETINGS)


     Same things,

     same incidents,

     same economic consequnces.In every place of the world,people have some protests for what;

     income inequality,


     justice system,


     laws,

     
     4 billion people are equal to only 26 persons.


     You work,you always work and when you are an old person,they say you will get retired,

    1-)You pay same taxes even for a bred,baby diaper,baby milk.
     
    2-)The most fun thing,perspective of my side,about global warming,


   Suppose you have a factory like that,they say poor persons you will pay same taxes with  owners  of factories.   

   This is fun.
           

     

Some rich guys tell happy index of countries have been dropping,"I do not understand why?"

Matters;trillions of matters we can tell that,


     Last thing "Rules,laws,justice system for are same everyone,I say they are balances of human society,If you compare it with ozone layer which keeps dangerous lights to arriving of atmosphere"

  In 21st century we still talk about law,economy. They are vicious loops.We should talk about science,future,time,robotics,DNA.

Saturday, January 19, 2019

Pushing Limits



Today,I want to talk about space issues.Three days ago Chinese Space Agency said we successed producing of some agricultural things in Moon.In this experiment they tried to produce some foods,potatos,from colza energy,cotton to clothes and like that.




                                                           Cotton experiment in Moon



In my some articles I had pointed to importonce of an object,currently conditions are not enough to arrive to Mars.


By using todays rocket systems you can arrive in 3 years to Mars,probably,it is impossible.Astreoids,foods,sleeping,illnesses are the main problem for crews.





According to Nasa, first colonizations should establish in Moon,experience of this travelling will give inspiration and real data for humankind.

Also other rational criteria support this idea.Human body is not awesome,we still do not have a powerful robotic technology,

and gravity,weather conditions,oxygen and etc can be damage for human body.Our kind is not perfect.

If humankind successes a creating of new plant  in Moon,from there to Mars travelling can be possible,their distances are short according to world.



     In above map is our future,you believe or you do not,it is your choice but away humankind         future is not on earth it is in the space.


      Sources of world are not magical and one day they will finish by ours or natural things.Why millions of fishes die in a day?

1-)Global warming
2-)Garbage
3-)Poison heavy metals





Our planet is 1960 model Mustang, and Mars is new one.Brakes,engines,clutches and front sets do not transfer power to tyres and we know end.

Science is not a friction,dreams always start with an excited thing in science.I guess you should have dreams and some novalties on your brain.


Clever nations are aware of vital of the space.Hollywood movies are not simple things,first dream starts then it comes to an estate.

If you have an average brain,currently planet conditions from economy to justice or everything should evaluate and ask by ourselves.


"The future is in the skies"Mustafa Kemal Atatürk

Wednesday, January 16, 2019

FED GOVERNORS




Seriously strange times,we have exactly this time term.

From economy to space everything is getting strange.Why I use this word in my sentence?


Yesterday,FED governors said, FED should be patient for hiking rates,global growth will have a slump.

They think,some private sectors bonds boom and USA can have a crisis,they are afraid of Trump ?

Or hard Brexit

Europe Region has some problems

China

Just focus numbers.......

In this term it is an oppurtunity for FED,strong dollar will affect with negatively to China,EU.Therefore they need peace and exporting power of USA has a little bit damage.





Last december,we had 312,000 in non ugricultural data.Also unemployment rate is the smallest in the history.


PPI-CPI-INFLATION

Since 2013,the most important thing was inflation for USA economy and currently inflation is near %2-%2,5.

For this reason,dollar index is not weak,by Trump and Powell USA 10 years bond dropped to %2,58 then levels of bonds are near to % 2,74.




Conclusion of this story,FED should hike interest rates,EM markets and EU have no power and it can be a good choice for FED.

Also markets look well for 3 weeks.

End of 2019 we will see new hiking interest rates by FED.

Monday, January 14, 2019

Shocking or normal,令人震惊或正常



A new hard week starts.

"Mr Trump looks hawkish about Turkey Operation to North Syria.He said,if you move one more step without telling us,we will destroy your economy"


Until this time,any USA President did not tell any explanations like that,it is seriously hard.


I had said in summer of 2018,Syria is so complicated,equations always change,games and unknown things happen.

USA is not dovish against Iran,and it is part of this equation.







    Now,TUIK shares  production data of Turkey,it does not look well.For a long time,industy has slowing and recession points.


      TURKISH INDUSTRY  IN NOVEMBER


In November,industry power dropped about %6,5.From this summer until this time,industry production ( cars,white goods,agricultural industry) do not show magical.

Also Levels of stocks dropped,again current deficit will increase and exporting-importing balance can break.

If you want to sell your products,you should buy some semi products raw materials.Energy and dollar prices are not cheap,which has so high costs.

Semi products,raw materials are vital costs for Turkish Firms,according to some news agencies Tupras and Isuzu will cut production.


In other way Europe does not look well,its industry index has the worst point last of three years,About %3,3 dropping is not a good for EU.

For a long time,Germany has some slowing points.These things  can change decisions of ECB.

Trade wars affect China,EU,Germany,their economies power have some damages.In long term they will need peace.

Do not forget this point, EU is the biggest market for Turkish Economy.Our exporting power is connected with Europe Region.Big European Banks have some partnerships in Turkey

Unknown equations always will affect destiny of economies.



11月,工业用电量下降约6,5%。从今年夏天到现在,工业生产(汽车,白色家电,农业)并不显得神奇。


此外,库存水平下降,目前的赤字将再次增加,出口 - 进口平衡可能会突破。



如果你想出售你的产品,你应该购买一些半成品原料。能源和美元价格并不便宜,成本如此之高。


根据一些新闻机构,Tupras和五十铃将削减产量,半成品,原材料是土耳其企业的重要成本。


另一方面,欧洲看起来不太好,其行业指数在三年内持续最差点,大约3,3%下跌对欧盟不利。

很长一段时间,德国都有一些放缓点。这些事情可以改变欧洲央行的决定。


贸易战影响中国,欧盟,德国,它们的经济实力有一定的损害。长期来看,它们需要和平。

不要忘记这一点,欧盟是土耳其经济的最大市场。我们的出口电力与欧洲地区有关。大欧洲银行在土耳其有一些合作伙伴关系



未知的方程总会影响经济的命运。

Thursday, January 10, 2019

MISSING F1



              We should wait until March.New cars,new packages,new challenges.......

The most strange news have come from Scuderia Ferrari recently,team principle Arrivabene was fired by Ferrari CEO.

It can be so interesting for Ferrari in this year,especially Mercedes Silver Arrows has a powerful engine for 2019.According to reports they find much more hp in their engines.Ferrari will start with a chaos in this year.

Ferrari has no enough power in 2017-2018.Big responsibility always  belongs team principle.Winter time ,we are looking forward it.



In 2019,cars have no any sharply technological developings,V6 engines and big tyres will present in this year,after 2020 designs of the cars can change.

                New front wings of 2019 cars had tested last race in Abu Dhabi.


Championship chances look so complicated,winter testings will show us how many teams have power against last year.It will be a good comparing for teams.

Honda -Redbull,2 big companies will share their powers in this year,it will be so interesting.Honda -Mclaren power did not look well for both of teams.Redbull can have a successful marks in this year we will see.

I am sure that,Silver Arrows and Ferrari will fight again,Redbull will be surprise of this year,Mclaren and Renault I guess they have no chances.

Haas,Force India,Sauber,Williams,Renault,Mclaren are fighting in B-class,if we have an excited season in this year,fans will be much more happy.



Thursday, January 3, 2019

再见中国



好吧,对不起我的中文。我对这种语言并不完美。中国经济有一个大问题。去年我写的。中国经济越来越差。数据看起来不太好。生长和元没有能力与美国作战 中国需要资金。尤其是18亿国家需要投资。贸易战对中国不利。谁控制美元?

然而,中国人自己提出一些问题。为什么中国政府投资人工智能?


他们知道原因,他们如何养活18亿人。机器人可以没有钱就能完成工作。


这不是一个秋天,它是一场风暴。





行业数据看起来不太好,如果不好看,中国如何赚钱。中国经济包括廉价的装配和工作能力。


但客场魔法崩溃了。


脆弱的五人也是中国的另一个问题。



Wednesday, January 2, 2019

Shrinking time



你好 经济看起来不太好 Hi , guys dear citizens of the world or any planets citizens :))

For a long time ago,I tried to consider some negative effects on Chinese Economy.Problem is getting worse.

China PMI Data explained two days ago and numbers showed under of 50 is dangerous.We talk about 1,5 billion population country.





Trade wars are not good for China,why?


  • China had a story ( cheap human power) now minumum wage salary is getting equal with any European Country.

  • China Economy needs American Companies Investment.

  • Brent Petrol Future (53 $) Two months ago,Saudi Arabia and Russia had a deal for reducing petrol production which means Brent Petrol Prices can be high. But away it happened?Nope

       The biggest  petrol consumer is China in this world,if prices do not hike and PMI data drop a               global crisis will come.


 Europe  Continent

How are the workings in Europe Region? It does not look shine and well.



China and Europe are the biggest marketing partners.If China does slowly,Europe will have same problem. Last December PMI Data was happened with 51,4.A sharply dropping.


ECB (EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK) They will hike interest rate in second quarter in 2019.


  • Complicated Economies (EM MARKETS)

  • Five Fragile Economies

  • Taiwan-China-USA

  •  Syria       

  •  Natural disasters     


In a short time, some of the above matters can be or other reasons we can tell million reasons.Slowing economies always are dangerous.